Skip to the picks
nbapickstoday
NBA picks today: an arena court lit before tip-off

NBA Picks Today: Wednesday, November 4, 2026

For all 14 NBA games tonight, you get Free NBA picks and predictions. Each one shows the model's win chance, its spread pick, total pick and the edge on each, plus the Kalshi price. First tip 7:00 PM ET.

Live record 42 picks posted graded after the finalsLedger since November 4 never edited

Updated Nov 4, 2:16 PM ET · 14 games · lines from DraftKings · Kalshi prices Nov 4, 1:59 PM ET

NBA picks today for every game
TipGameWin %SpreadTotalKalshiOur picks
ESPN76ers7-1Pistons6-129.670.3+2.5−2.5fair −7.5218.5fair 216.745¢55¢Pistons -2.5 −106Wide edgeUnder 218.5 −110Slim edgePreview, injuries, stats
Hawks4-4Wizards4-361.738.3−2.5+2.5fair +4232.5fair 226.758¢42¢Hawks -2.5 −104Clear edgeUnder 232.5 −110Wide edgePreview, injuries, stats
Bucks1-6Celtics5-215.085.0+11.5−11.5fair −14.5225.5fair 225.219¢81¢Celtics -11.5 −112Clear edgeUnder 225.5 −115No edgePreview, injuries, stats
Hornets3-5Nets1-651.348.7−3.5+3.5fair +0.5213.5fair 211.160¢40¢Nets +3.5 −110Wide edgeUnder 213.5 −106Clear edgePreview, injuries, stats
Bulls1-6Knicks3-418.281.8+11.5−11.5fair −12.5233.5fair 229.817¢83¢Knicks -11.5 −115No edgeUnder 233.5 −105Wide edgePreview, injuries, stats
Pacers2-6Grizzlies6-124.575.5+7.5−7.5fair −9.5228.5fair 230.232¢68¢Grizzlies -7.5 −103Clear edgeOver 228.5 −115Slim edgePreview, injuries, stats
Jazz1-6Pelicans3-430.070.0+5.5−5.5fair −7.5234.5fair 236.734¢66¢Pelicans -5.5 −110Slim edgeOver 234.5 −115Slim edgePreview, injuries, stats
Cavaliers4-3Thunder5-238.861.2+2.5−2.5fair −4228.5fair 226.541¢59¢Thunder -2.5 −105Clear edgeUnder 228.5 −115Slim edgePreview, injuries, stats
Timberwolves5-3Rockets7-140.859.2+8.5−8.5fair −3.5220.5fair 224.129¢71¢Timberwolves +8.5 −112Wide edgeOver 220.5 −106Wide edgePreview, injuries, stats
Raptors4-3Nuggets3-353.646.4+4.5−4.5fair +1.5230.5fair 229.937¢63¢Raptors +4.5 −110Wide edgeUnder 230.5 −115No edgePreview, injuries, stats
Trail Blazers5-1Suns1-463.836.2−3.5+3.5fair +5227.5fair 227.357¢43¢Trail Blazers -3.5 −109Slim edgeUnder 227.5 −108No edgePreview, injuries, stats
ESPNMavericks4-3Spurs5-225.874.2+11.5−11.5fair −9227.5fair 226.318¢82¢Mavericks +11.5 −115Clear edgeUnder 227.5 −111Slim edgePreview, injuries, stats
Lakers6-2Kings1-678.821.2−11.5+11.5fair +11234.5fair 234.983¢17¢Kings +11.5 −114No edgeOver 234.5 −110No edgePreview, injuries, stats
Heat2-5Clippers1-646.353.7−5.5+5.5fair −1.5233.5fair 233.964¢36¢Clippers +5.5 −111Wide edgeOver 233.5 −114No edgePreview, injuries, stats
  • Our model's win chance for each side appears as Win %. In the Kalshi column, traders pay a number of cents for a $1 win contract.
  • To find the edge, subtract the price's break-even chance from our chance. The ratings are wide at 6 points or more, clear at 3 to 6 and slim under 3: how the model works.
  • Before tip, we log every pick once. Later, the final score and closing line on the picks log determine its grade.

Top NBA bets tonight

  1. Heat at ClippersClippers +5.5 −111Model 68.6% against 52.6% to break evenWide edge +16.0
  2. Raptors at NuggetsRaptors +4.5 −110Model 66.0% against 52.4% to break evenWide edge +13.6
  3. 76ers at PistonsPistons -2.5 −106Model 63.9% against 51.5% to break evenWide edge +12.4

Every edge on tonight's card

Tonight's TV schedule and tip times